Cautious Optimism
After a two week stock rally ended earlier this week mortgage
rates were improving. But earnings reports released today showed better earnings than expected and this sent stocks higher again. Combined with this reports showed new jobless claims at 584,000 for the week ending July 25, an improvement over June numbers that held at more than 600,000 claims each week. This indicates a slowing of new job losses. The volume of ongoing unemployment claims is also moving lower. Unemployment continues to be a huge concern and an indicator of the overall health of the economy, with more than 6.5 million job losses since the recession began in December of 2007.
In the Bay Area there are also cautiously positive signs that a bottom may have been reached in the housing market. This article…
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2009/07/29/BU9A190BAI.DTL
… shows that data from May shows some promising signs. Data more recently seems to indicate the continued trend of foreclosure properties
finding buyers, a very good sign. While we’re not out of the woods yet, as predicted, the second half of 2009 may show light at the end of the tunnel.
First time home buyers should get serious about buying if they want to take advantage of the $8000 tax credit they can get from the IRS, and maximize their savings on property prices. This credit ends at the end of 2009. With so many properties for sale at distressed prices it is an excellent time to buy a new home or investment property.
Sellers may wish to rethink their listing prices because HVCC went into effect in June. HVCC is the bill that placed all power over appraisers in the hands of lenders. We’ve already seen huge devaluations of properties because the lenders (who are only interested in their own profits) gain when appraisals come in low by using this to justify higher interest rates charged to borrowers. HVCC opens the door to large scale manipulation of property values by the same banks that created our economic crisis! I encourage you to write to your representatives about this issue and urge this bill to be overturned. Sellers need to remember that ultimately the appraisal will determine the amount the lender is willing to lend… so a low appraisal will supersede the amount of an accepted offer, forcing prices downward.
30 Jul 2009 0 comments