Archive for October, 2009

What Area Is Best Poised For Real Estate Recovery? The Bay Area!

Check out what CNN has to say:

http://money.cnn.com/galleries/2009/real_estate/0910/gallery.housing_price_forecast/index.html

A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to Escrow

Here is an interesting example of how differently today’s real estate market is perceived. In evcery sale/purchase the cast includes the home buyers, home sellers, agents in the transaction and the neighbors.

1) Any agent worth his weight in salt knows that pricing is the key component to successfully market and sell a property in today’s real estate market. It is not easy to tell a person that their home is worth less today than when they bought it but unfortunately that comprises a lot of today’s market.

2) Most sellers refuse to believe the facts regarding home values. They are taken aback, if not downright offended, when you are honest enough to discuss the reality of today’s values/prices. Most would rather hear an unrealistic value and have deluded themselves enough to believe it. Here starts the failure of the sale – priced too high when it comes on the market, waits too long for the inevitable price reduction and starts “chasing the market” which always results in a lower sales price then had it been priced correctly in the beginning. Or, the sellers never reduce the price, the home remains on the market getting “stale” and the home never sells or does so at an extreme discount due to length of time of the market.

3)Today’s home buyers are the most sophisticated we’ve ever seen. They have access to massive amounts of real estate information. This group is fully aware of market conditions and unlike most sellers perception that today’s buyers are looking for a “steal”, buyers are actually looking for a fair deal in today’s market. When you offer them a fair deal they respond with more gusto then you would believe.

4) Then there are the neighbors of sellers who refuse to accept the fact that their homes are worth less today then than have been in the past 5 years. When an agent prices a home “fairly for this market” or when the ultimate selling price is announced the listing agent can expect lots of woe and grief from neighbors accusing the agent of “underpricing the home” and “destroying our values”. Unfortunately these people are either deluded or completely unaware of the facts, figures and reality of today’s market.

Those are the main players in this tragi-comedy called our real estate market. A cast that makes for some very interesting times indeed.

Marin County September ’09 Condo/Townhome Sales

TOWN # CURRENT # LISTINGS AVERAGE AVERAGE  ABSORB
ACTIVE SOLD IN  SQ FT LIST SQ FT SOLD RATE
LISTINGS SEPT. 09 PRICE PRICE
Belvedere 0 0  
Corte Madera 4 0 451.17   ~
Fairfax 2 0 386.3   ~
Greenbrae 13 2 437.52 379.15 6.5 Mths
Kentfield 0 0    
Larkspur 7 0 494.5   ~
Mill Valley 23 3 551.91 450.41 7.7 Mths
Novato 23 22 253.64 233.71 1 Mth
San Anselmo 6 1 439.84 364.66 6 Mths
S G Valley 0 0      
San Rafael 60 11 402.09 292.03 5.5 Mths
Sausalito 25 5 471.22 478.47 5 Mths
Stinson 2 1 524.74 515.81 2 Mths
Tiburon 22 2 651.87 496.22 11 Mths

Marin’s September 2009 Single Family Home Sales

TOWN # CURRENT # LISTINGS AVERAGE AVERAGE ABSORB
ACTIVE SOLD IN SQ FT LIST SQ FT SOLD RATE
LISTINGS SEPT. 09 PRICE PRICE
Belvedere 34 1 $1,610 804.22 34 Mths
Corte Madera 23 5 564.19 448.75 4.6 Mths
Fairfax 29 6 419.5 419.34 4.8 Mths
Greenbrae 19 4 564.13 547.53 4.75 Mths
Kentfield 29 5 753.95 771.7 5.8 Mths
Larkspur 23 6 611.29 551.72 3.8 Mths
Mill Valley 131 19 668.44 534.26 6.9 Mths
Novato 115 35 343.06 301.63 3.3 Mths
San Anselmo 64 5 523.96 414.26 12.8 Mths
S G Valley 12 2 416.58 341.16 6 Mths
San Rafael 162 30 423.14 396.31 5.4 Mths
Sausalito 50 6 848.28 706.35 8.3 Mths
Stinson 24 2 1,387.36 849.45 12 Mths
Tiburon 73 5 988.93 841.48 14.6 Mths

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